TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

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4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$14

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:45 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, displaying the implied probability of the outcome occurring. It also provides a price history chart, allowing users to see how the market has fluctuated over time. Additionally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour volume, currently at $14, and the total group volume, which is $14. Traders can use this information to assess market sentiment and make informed decisions about buying or selling shares.

Currently, it's important to note that this market is operating on a single platform, Predict. Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Often, prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, it’s also possible for analysts to have specialized knowledge not fully reflected in the market price. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for Zhipu AI.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share reflects the probability of the event occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s probability, driven by the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences a significant increase or decrease in its valuation or public perception during the specified timeframe of October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET. The outcome will be determined by objective data points and widely accepted sources, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news concerning competitors in the AI space, or broader shifts in the technology sector, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, influential analyst reports or media coverage focusing on Zhipu AI’s prospects could drive price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their beliefs.