TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3AM-3:15AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$9

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3AM-3:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3AM-3:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:15 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3AM-3:15AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T07:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T07:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $9. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment. Total volume for this market is $9. The dashboard is designed to give you a quick overview of how people are assessing the likelihood of Zhipu AI's performance.

Currently, it's important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts directly comparable to this market. However, the odds on Predict represent a collective prediction from a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information and perspectives not always reflected in traditional analyst reports. When evaluating this market, consider whether the implied probabilities align with your own assessment of Zhipu AI’s trajectory and the broader AI landscape. The market can offer a different perspective than individual expert opinions.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price adjusts dynamically as more traders participate and new information becomes available. The current price indicates the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding Zhipu AI’s future performance, offering a real-time assessment of its potential.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance, as publicly reported, is considered ‘up’ or ‘down’ during the specified timeframe of October 23, 3AM-3:15AM ET. The determination will rely on objective data and widely accepted metrics for evaluating AI model performance, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. This timeframe is crucial for determining the final outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new model releases, performance benchmarks, or partnerships would be key catalysts. Unexpected news about competitors in the AI space, such as OpenAI or Google, could also shift sentiment. Broader economic or technological developments impacting the AI industry, like changes in regulatory policies or breakthroughs in AI research, could also play a role. Positive or negative media coverage and influential analyst reports could also move this market before Oct 23, 2026.