TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T07:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T07:30:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts specifically targeting the short-term performance of Zhipu AI as captured by this market. However, prediction markets often synthesize information from a wide range of sources, including expert opinions, news reports, and real-time data, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional analyst reports. This market reflects the collective judgment of traders on Predict regarding the likely direction of Zhipu AI’s trajectory during the specified timeframe.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will be up or down during the specified period. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the market's aggregate expectation, and changes in price indicate shifts in sentiment as new information becomes available. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic odds.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price is higher or lower at 3:45 AM ET on October 23rd, compared to its price at 3:30 AM ET on the same day. The change in price during that 15-minute window will determine the outcome of this market, reflecting short-term market movement around Zhipu AI.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major news announcements regarding Zhipu AI, such as product launches, partnerships, or financial results, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or overall economic news, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected regulatory changes affecting AI companies, or significant shifts in investor sentiment towards the technology, could also cause the odds to shift. Any information that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s short-term prospects could drive price movement.