TOTAL VOLUME:

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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$402

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:30 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$297
$402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T07:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T07:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. It also displays a price history chart, showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $408. This allows you to see how much activity there has been in this market recently and identify any significant shifts in sentiment. Total volume for this market is $402, indicating overall interest.

Currently, the odds on this market reflect a collective prediction from traders. It’s often insightful to compare these odds to external forecasts from analysts and polls. If analysts are largely bullish on Zhipu AI’s prospects, you might expect to see higher prices in this market. Conversely, if analysts are skeptical, prices may be lower. However, prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to divergences in opinion. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own view.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated judgment of all participants, not a fixed valuation or expert opinion. The current price represents the probability of the 'up' outcome, as determined by traders on the platform.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s stock price between 3:15 AM and 3:30 AM ET on October 23rd. Whether the price moves up or down during that period will determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle based on this verified change, with the result publicly available on Predict.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new AI models, partnerships, or financial performance, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the technology sector, particularly concerning artificial intelligence, could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory changes or competitor actions could also move the market. Finally, general investor sentiment and overall economic conditions can influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.