TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional polling data regarding President Zelenskyy’s social media activity. While polls capture stated intentions, this market reflects what individuals are willing to put capital behind. This difference can be significant, as prediction markets incentivize truthful forecasting. It’s important to note that polls and market odds address different questions – polls gauge opinion, while this market attempts to predict a specific future event. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of different post counts from President Zelenskyy. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the event.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by President Zelenskyy on his official social media accounts between September 15th and September 22nd, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of publicly accessible posts across his verified accounts. The exact determination will rely on publicly available data and will be assessed against the defined timeframe, ensuring a clear and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major geopolitical events involving Ukraine, shifts in President Zelenskyy’s communication strategy, or significant changes to social media platform policies could all impact the perceived likelihood of different post counts. Unexpected announcements regarding his schedule or public appearances could also move the market. Furthermore, any news related to his health or security could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.