TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as polls focusing on the specific number of social media posts by a political leader years in the future are not commonly conducted. However, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the likely outcome. Discrepancies between this market and any potential future polls could arise from differing methodologies, biases, or the information considered by poll respondents versus informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more traders bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding President Zelenskyy’s posting activity.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by President Zelenskyy on his official social media accounts between September 11 and September 18, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of all publicly visible posts across his primary social media channels during that specified timeframe. The exact number of posts will determine which outcome is considered correct.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Major geopolitical events involving Ukraine, significant shifts in the information landscape, or changes in President Zelenskyy’s communication strategy could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected policy announcements or international developments related to the ongoing conflict could also play a role. Any news impacting President Zelenskyy's public profile or the overall media attention surrounding Ukraine has the potential to move this market.