TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations and differ fundamentally from traditional polling. While polls measure stated public opinion at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate financial incentives—traders profit only if their forecast is correct. For Zelenskyy's posting activity, market prices incorporate real-time information about his communication patterns, geopolitical events, and platform availability. This makes markets often more responsive and forward-looking than static polls, though both approaches offer distinct value in understanding potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is structured as a binary or multi-outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different posting-frequency ranges or thresholds during June 5–12, 2026. Each outcome has its own price, expressed as an implied probability between 0 and 100. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by holding shares until resolution. The market price continuously adjusts based on order flow, new information, and changing expectations about Zelenskyy's social media activity during that specific week.
The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the June 5–12, 2026 window closes. Resolution is determined by counting the actual number of posts Zelenskyy makes across his official social media accounts during that seven-day period. The specific platforms tracked and the exact definition of a countable post are established in the market's rules at creation. Once the event window ends, the outcome is verified and the market settles, with winning shares redeemed at full value and losing shares at zero.
Several factors could shift market odds before Jun 12, 2026. Major geopolitical developments—escalations in conflict, diplomatic breakthroughs, or security incidents—may increase or decrease Zelenskyy's communication frequency. Changes to his official schedule, platform access, or communication strategy could also move prices. Additionally, historical data on his typical posting volume during comparable periods informs trader expectations. As June approaches, any public statements about his availability or media plans, combined with real-time post counts during the event week itself, will drive active trading and price discovery.