TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between June 30, 12:00 PM ET and July 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between June 30, 12:00 PM ET and July 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction markets and traditional polls measure different things: polls capture stated public opinion at a single moment, while this market aggregates traders' forward-looking expectations about a specific factual outcome. Market odds often diverge from polling because traders have financial incentives to forecast accurately and incorporate real-time information, news, and expert analysis. For social media activity predictions, market prices may reflect insider knowledge or pattern recognition that surveys cannot capture, making them a complementary—not interchangeable—data source for understanding likely outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the week in question has concluded and Zelenskyy's actual post count can be verified. The outcome is determined by counting confirmed posts made on his official social media accounts during the specified seven-day window. Resolution relies on credible public sources and transparent documentation of his posting activity, ensuring all traders have access to the same verifiable data when the market settles.
Major geopolitical developments, military escalations, or diplomatic breakthroughs could significantly alter Zelenskyy's communication patterns and posting frequency. Changes in his public schedule, international travel, or media availability may also influence how active he is on social platforms during that week. Additionally, shifts in the broader information environment—such as major news cycles or cyber incidents—could prompt increased or decreased social media engagement, causing traders to reprice their positions as the event window draws closer.