TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Zelenskyy's posting frequency, but they differ fundamentally from polling averages. Polls measure public opinion or sentiment; prediction markets price a factual, measurable outcome—the actual number of posts during June 12–19, 2026. Market participants incorporate historical posting patterns, geopolitical events, and seasonal factors into their bets. While polls capture snapshots of voter views, prediction markets aggregate financial incentives to forecast concrete behavior, making them a distinct signal for this specific quantitative event.
The market resolves on Jun 19, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual number of posts Zelenskyy makes across his official social media accounts during the June 12–19, 2026 window. The final count will be verified against public records of his posts on platforms where he maintains an official presence. Once the week closes and the post count is confirmed, the outcome bucket containing that number will be deemed correct, and traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payouts.
Several catalysts could shift market odds before Jun 19, 2026. Major geopolitical developments—military escalations, peace negotiations, or international summits—may prompt Zelenskyy to increase communication. Domestic political events in Ukraine could also drive posting frequency. Historical patterns in his social media behavior during crisis periods versus routine weeks provide traders with benchmarks. Additionally, any announced media blackouts, travel schedules, or official statements about communication strategy could influence expectations. Real-time news flow and analyst commentary on Ukrainian politics will likely move prices as the event window approaches.