TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 2:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction markets like this one differ fundamentally from traditional polls because they measure trader expectations rather than survey responses. While polls ask respondents a direct question, this market aggregates financial incentives—traders who forecast accurately profit, creating pressure toward precision. For social media activity predictions, market odds reflect collective intelligence about Zelenskyy's posting habits, geopolitical events, and communication patterns. Prediction markets often outperform polls on factual, measurable outcomes because wrong predictions cost money, whereas poll respondents face no such penalty.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, after the conclusion of the July 24–31 period. The outcome is determined by counting verified posts from Zelenskyy's official social media accounts during that week, confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders who correctly predicted the post-count range receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the final count is established and cross-checked against reliable sources.
Several factors could shift trader expectations before this market resolves. Major geopolitical developments—military escalations, diplomatic breakthroughs, or international summits—may prompt Zelenskyy to increase or decrease his public communications. Domestic political events in Ukraine, such as parliamentary votes or cabinet changes, could also influence his posting frequency. Additionally, broader trends in his communication strategy, seasonal patterns in his social media use, and unexpected crises would all serve as catalysts. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions ahead of the final count.