TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 2:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Unlike traditional polls, this market reflects continuous trader sentiment rather than periodic surveys. While polls may capture public opinion snapshots, this market incorporates real-time betting activity and can react instantly to news, geopolitical developments, or social media trends. As a result, odds here often diverge from polling averages, especially in volatile political environments.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, analysts will count verified posts by Zelenskyy within the August 7–14 window, and the market will settle based on that official tally.
Several signals could sway this market before Aug 14, 2026, starting with any major speeches, diplomatic announcements, or military updates coming directly from Zelenskyy that affect his public schedule. Global headlines around Ukraine — especially breakthroughs in peace talks or escalations in combat — often alter posting patterns as leaders respond in real time. Technical glitches or platform-specific updates on Polymarket may also cause short-term volatility, while sustained shifts in trading volume of $2,170 can amplify price swings. Analysts watching social media analytics tools will react to any measured changes in posting cadence.