TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 2:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Unlike traditional polling averages that gather public opinion through surveys, this market uses real-money bets to set its odds. While polls may show what people think will happen, this market reflects what traders are willing to pay now based on available information, news, and expectations. The difference can highlight where market participants diverge from broader public sentiment, offering a complementary view of expectations for the outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, it will be settled based on the number of posts made by Zelenskyy between August 4 and August 11, 2026, as documented through authoritative news sources and official channels. The result is binary — either the threshold is met or it isn’t — and determined solely by publicly available records.
News about Zelenskyy’s schedule, health updates, political developments, or major announcements could shift this market. Any indication of planned speaking engagements, social media activity, or unexpected disruptions to his routine may cause traders to adjust their bets. Additionally, broader geopolitical events or changes in communication strategies could influence expectations and move the odds closer to or away from the current pricing on Polymarket.