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Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
polymarket

Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout

Volume:
$45,818

50-60%

 - Polymarket

50-60% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 7:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

50-60%

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

60-70%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<50%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80%+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).

Polymarket

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Aug 14, 2026, following the conclusion of the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election. Resolution depends on official turnout figures released by Zambian electoral authorities or credible international observers. The outcome is binary: if verified turnout is below 50%, the YES outcome resolves to 100% and NO to 0%; if turnout meets or exceeds 50%, the reverse occurs. Traders should monitor official announcements and election commission statements in the days following voting to understand the final result.

Key catalysts include voter registration updates, campaign momentum shifts, security incidents affecting access to polling stations, and weather conditions on election day. Political unrest, opposition boycotts, or endorsements from major figures could suppress or boost participation. International observer reports and pre-election surveys released closer to August 2026 will likely influence trader positioning. Economic conditions, fuel availability for transportation, and public confidence in electoral integrity also shape turnout expectations. Real-time reports from polling stations on voting day itself will drive final price movements as traders react to emerging participation data.