TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Several signals could impact this market before Aug 13, 2026. Key catalysts include national polling updates, major policy announcements, debates or public appearances by leading candidates, and any shifts in coalition support among smaller parties. Economic indicators or scandals directly affecting candidate viability may also cause rapid price adjustments. As the election date nears, regional voting trends and turnout forecasts will become critical, especially in swing districts. Traders will closely monitor these developments to anticipate shifts in the odds.