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Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place
polymarket

Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place

Volume:
$7,894

NRPUP

 - Polymarket

NRPUP - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 4:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

NRPUP

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.8¢
N/A
$5,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

UPND

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SP

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party P

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party Q

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party R

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party T

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party U

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.

Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Zambia election runner-up market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the second-place finisher in the upcoming national assembly election. It displays current probabilities, price history charts, and 24-hour volume of $285 to help users monitor market sentiment and trading activity as the election approaches.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader expectations for who will finish second in the Zambia election. While polls provide another view of voter sentiment, prediction market odds incorporate real-money bets and can react faster to emerging news or shifts in campaign momentum. Traders often price in information beyond traditional surveys, such as candidate viability, media coverage, and potential electoral challenges. As the vote approaches, this market may diverge from polling averages if betting activity highlights risks or opportunities not yet captured in public opinion data.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of each possible runner-up outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of market participants about which candidate or party is most likely to secure second place. Volume of $7,244 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $285 indicates how actively the market is trading. Price movements often follow news about candidate campaigns, debates, or polling updates.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official count will determine the runner-up, and the market will close accordingly once the data is widely reported and indisputable.

Several developments could shift expectations in this market before Aug 13, 2026. Key events include major public opinion polls, debates or interviews that change voter perceptions, endorsements from influential figures or groups, and any legal or logistical challenges to the election process. Economic announcements, scandals, or shifts in campaign momentum can also impact trader sentiment. As the voting date approaches, updated forecasts from political analysts and real-time betting activity on Polymarket will further shape market odds.