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$277,138,640

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

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Z.AI share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

What will Z.AI share of spend be?

Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,155
Volume 24h:
$637N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$481
94%

Above 8.2%

 - Kalshi

Above 8.2% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 08h:58m:01s

Z.AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.2%

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 8.2%

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$274
26%
N/A
$65
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 11.1%

Trade
16%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$396
0%
N/A
$216
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 9.4%

Trade
16%
5%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204
29%
N/A
$46
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 10.0%

Trade
1%
52%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
107%
N/A
$145
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 10.4%

Trade
1%
87%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
41%
N/A
$9
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 12.8%

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 16.7%

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 19.6%

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 58m
Active
kalshi

Above 27.1%

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8h 58m
Active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI Gateway spending allocated to Z.AI Vercel services by leading research laboratories in a specific month. It reflects potential trends in AI infrastructure adoption and vendor preference among top-tier tech innovators.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Z.AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across leading laboratories for November 2, 2026. The share will be measured and rounded to one decimal place, with the official value determined from an updated chart at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold—ranging from 8.2% to 27.1%—and resolves to 'Yes' only if the measured share exceeds its specific threshold. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The structure allows multiple simultaneous thresholds to potentially trigger 'Yes' outcomes depending on the exact percentage recorded.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Z.AI Vercel spend market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $450 and the total volume traded to date is $1,155. This allows traders to see how the market is valuing the likelihood of different outcomes regarding Z.AI’s expenditure on Vercel as of November 2, 2026. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity, helping participants make informed decisions.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Z.AI’s Vercel spend. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to different assessments of probability. If analysts predict a certain level of spend, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders regarding that prediction’s accuracy, and provides a different signal. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies or access to unique data.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity, creating a dynamic and responsive market for forecasting Z.AI’s Vercel spend.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available data regarding Z.AI’s total spend with Vercel as of November 2, 2026. The specific share of spend will be determined by assessing the relevant financial reports and public statements, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Z.AI or Vercel regarding their partnership, changes in Z.AI’s overall AI development strategy, or significant shifts in the broader AI landscape could all influence trading activity. News about Vercel’s competitive position or the adoption of alternative AI infrastructure by other leading labs would also be relevant. Any information impacting Z.AI's financial performance or investment priorities could also move this market.