TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Z.AI as a service hosted on Vercel, measuring its adoption among leading research laboratories on a specific date. It reflects how much of the AI processing workload is handled by Z.AI through Vercel's infrastructure, indicating its usage trends in advanced technology environments.
All markets resolve based on the Z.AI Vercel share of AI Gateway requests from top laboratories on October 28, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from 8.2% to 14.6%, with resolution occurring if the measured share exceeds the respective threshold. The share is calculated and rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi will determine the outcome at 10:00 AM ET on October 29, 2026, using the updated chart value for October 28. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with Vercel, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating real-time data and anticipating shifts in sentiment. If analysts predict a significantly different outcome than what's priced into this market, it could indicate disagreement about key assumptions or the weight given to certain factors influencing Z.AI's request share. Discrepancies can also arise from differing time horizons or methodologies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for Z.AI's request share. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each scenario. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final share of requests processed by Z.AI on October 28, 2026, as reported by Vercel, will determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Vercel regarding Z.AI's capabilities or adoption rate would be key catalysts. Unexpected performance metrics released by Vercel, or news about competing AI models impacting Z.AI's demand, could also cause shifts in pricing. Broader developments in the AI landscape, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs in AI technology, could also influence trader sentiment and impact the volume and odds in this market.