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Politics
Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time? (Wider Strikes)
polymarket

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time? (Wider Strikes)

Volume:
$324,934

60+ Years

 - Polymarket

60+ Years - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

60+ Years

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79,376
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

<30 Years

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,579
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

No Prison Time

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,402
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

30-60 Years

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,577
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 4

Description

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.