TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 19 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome—XRP up or down—and the price of each share directly reflects its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows into one side, that outcome's price rises and the opposing side falls, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. The market's liquidity and trading volume determine how quickly prices adjust to new information, making active markets more responsive to breaking news or technical developments.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed and verified against credible public sources. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while the losing side forfeits their stake. The resolution hinges on whether XRP's price on that date closes higher or lower than its opening level, a straightforward and objectively verifiable metric that eliminates ambiguity.
Major regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and technical breakouts or breakdowns on the chart can all swing this market sharply. Developments in Ripple's legal battles, changes in institutional adoption, or moves by large holders can trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility often correlate with XRP moves, so monitoring the broader crypto market sentiment is essential for anticipating directional shifts before the June 19 deadline.