TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about XRP's directional move, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While technical analysts and on-chain observers may focus on intraday volatility or support levels, this market prices in broader sentiment about whether buyers or sellers will dominate by the resolution date. Comparing odds here to analyst forecasts or social media conviction can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or contrarian positioning relative to mainstream expectations.
On Polymarket, traders directly set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders move the probability up or down in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal cost of the next trade, so larger orders move the odds more sharply. This continuous pricing model means the market adapts instantly to new information, news, or shifts in trader conviction about XRP's direction on the specified date.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once XRP's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether XRP closes higher or lower relative to its opening price on that date, measured against established market data feeds. Once the event passes and data is finalized, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the direction.
Major regulatory announcements, SEC decisions, or macroeconomic shifts affecting crypto broadly can shift odds sharply. Technical breakouts, large whale transactions, or shifts in on-chain activity may signal accumulation or distribution, moving trader positioning. Broader Bitcoin or Ethereum moves often correlate with XRP volatility, so market-wide sentiment swings are a key catalyst. Additionally, platform upgrades, partnership news, or changes in institutional interest can reshape expectations about directional momentum heading into the resolution date.