TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
XRP Up or Down on June 13?
polymarket

XRP Up or Down on June 13?

Volume:
$7,381

XRP Up or Down on June 13?

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down on June 13? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down on June 13?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the XRP price movement market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price data for whether XRP will move up or down on June 13. The interface displays current trader sentiment through live probability estimates, allowing participants to monitor how the market is pricing directional movement in XRP. You can observe order flow, recent trades, and cumulative volume to understand liquidity depth and conviction levels among traders positioning ahead of the event date.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about XRP's directional move, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While technical analysts and on-chain observers may focus on intraday volatility or support levels, this market prices in broader sentiment about whether buyers or sellers will dominate by the resolution date. Comparing odds here to analyst forecasts or social media conviction can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or contrarian positioning relative to mainstream expectations.

On Polymarket, traders directly set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders move the probability up or down in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal cost of the next trade, so larger orders move the odds more sharply. This continuous pricing model means the market adapts instantly to new information, news, or shifts in trader conviction about XRP's direction on the specified date.

This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once XRP's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether XRP closes higher or lower relative to its opening price on that date, measured against established market data feeds. Once the event passes and data is finalized, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the direction.

Major regulatory announcements, SEC decisions, or macroeconomic shifts affecting crypto broadly can shift odds sharply. Technical breakouts, large whale transactions, or shifts in on-chain activity may signal accumulation or distribution, moving trader positioning. Broader Bitcoin or Ethereum moves often correlate with XRP volatility, so market-wide sentiment swings are a key catalyst. Additionally, platform upgrades, partnership news, or changes in institutional interest can reshape expectations about directional momentum heading into the resolution date.