TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about XRP's direction by May 31, 8PM ET, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets over a fixed timeframe. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish than conventional indicators suggest. This divergence often signals where informed traders see value.
The XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8PM ET market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether XRP's price has moved up or down from a specified reference point. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive $1 per share, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is based on verified price data at the exact time specified, ensuring a clear and objective settlement that reflects actual market movement during the prediction window.
XRP's directional movement by May 31, 8PM ET could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto market, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action, and major partnerships or technical developments. SEC decisions on crypto classification, Federal Reserve policy changes, and institutional adoption news are key catalysts. Social sentiment, exchange listings, and network upgrades can also drive volatility. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions and update their probability estimates as new information emerges.