TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about XRP's direction by May 31, 5AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical signals, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets with real financial stakes. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst sentiment or historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional price expectations for that timeframe.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares in either the Up or Down outcome, and the price of each share reflects the implied probability of that result occurring by the resolution date. As traders adjust positions in response to XRP news, regulatory developments, or broader crypto sentiment, the share prices shift to equilibrate supply and demand, creating a continuous market price that aggregates real-money forecasts.
Key catalysts for XRP price direction include regulatory announcements from the SEC or international bodies, Ripple company developments, broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, and macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can trigger momentum shifts. Major Bitcoin or Ethereum moves often influence altcoin flows, including XRP. Partnership news, exchange listings, or changes in institutional adoption could also sway trader expectations. Monitoring these signals helps inform directional bets on the May 31, 5AM ET outcome.