TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about XRP's directional move by May 31st at 3PM ET, while spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. The prediction market odds represent real money at stake, making them a direct measure of crowd belief. Comparing these odds to analyst price targets and historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in higher or lower conviction than traditional research suggests. This comparison helps identify potential mispricings or consensus shifts in XRP sentiment.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET is priced using an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each outcome, with prices adjusting in real time as new trades execute. Traders can enter positions at any time before the May 31st 3PM ET deadline, and the market price continuously updates to balance supply and demand. Polymarket's transparent order book allows you to see all pending bids and offers for both the up and down outcomes.
The XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the final outcome is determined by whether XRP's price has moved up or down relative to the specified threshold at exactly 3PM Eastern Time. Once the resolution criteria are met and verified, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. All trading activity stops at the resolution deadline, and no further positions can be entered after that point.
Several catalysts could influence XRP's direction by May 31st. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency classification or Ripple's legal status often drive significant XRP moves. Bitcoin and broader crypto market sentiment shifts typically correlate with XRP price action. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy decisions, and traditional finance adoption news can also impact the entire crypto sector. Technical levels, support and resistance zones, and on-chain transaction volume may signal momentum changes. Partnership announcements, exchange listings, or developments in Ripple's business operations could create directional pressure. Monitoring these factors helps traders anticipate potential price movements before resolution.