TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for XRP's direction by May 31, 1PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and anticipated catalysts over the full event window. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish bias. Divergence between prediction odds and spot price trends often signals where informed traders see opportunity or risk.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the probability assigned by the market, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction in that outcome. Volume and liquidity on the order book determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given time.
The XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing XRP's price at the specified moment against the reference level established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution is final once confirmed, and any remaining open positions are settled according to the outcome.
XRP's direction by May 31, 1PM ET could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or cryptocurrency broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk sentiment, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, and on-chain activity metrics. Major developments in Ripple's business partnerships, SEC litigation outcomes, or changes to stablecoin policy could trigger sharp moves. Market-wide events such as Federal Reserve decisions or geopolitical tensions also tend to drive crypto volatility. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders assess whether current prediction market odds adequately reflect upcoming risks and opportunities.