TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Volume:
$685

XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
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24h
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polymarket

XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about XRP's directional move during the May 30 window, while spot price data from exchanges shows current market valuation. Prediction markets often diverge from spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts or technical analysis can reveal whether the market is pricing in a consensus view or if contrarian positioning exists. This gap helps traders identify potential mispricings.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the XRP Up or Down event is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: XRP moves up or XRP moves down during the May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET window. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market price reflects the collective belief of all traders on the platform. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at posted prices.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026 after the four-hour event window closes at 12:00AM ET on May 31. Resolution is determined by comparing XRP's price at the start of the May 30, 8:00PM window to its price at the end of the window at 12:00AM ET. The outcome is binary: if XRP's price is higher at close than at open, the Up outcome wins; if lower, the Down outcome wins. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once resolution is finalized.

XRP price movement during May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET could be driven by regulatory announcements, Ripple company news, or broader cryptocurrency market sentiment shifts. Macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and social media catalysts often trigger intraday crypto swings. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also influence short-term direction. Traders on Polymarket monitor these signals in real time, adjusting odds as new information emerges. Liquidity conditions and options expiry on traditional exchanges can amplify XRP moves during the window.