TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether XRP's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 4PM ET on May 29, 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 50.0% on Polymarket, reflecting even odds between the two directions. Price data will be sourced from Binance's XRP/USDT trading pair to determine the final settlement. Watch for market-moving developments leading up to the May 29 resolution time, as any significant crypto market shifts or XRP-specific news in the hours before the 4PM ET candle close could influence the final outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on XRP's directional move by May 29, 4PM ET, which may differ from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price XRP's immediate value, prediction markets embed longer-term directional bets and tail-risk premiums. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether traders expect upside or downside relative to consensus views. Divergence between prediction odds and spot expectations often signals where informed traders see asymmetric opportunity.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate of all buy and sell orders in the order book. Prices move as new trades execute, with higher demand for one side pushing its probability up and the other down. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so liquidity and spreads depend on cumulative volume and the depth of orders at each price level.
The XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET market resolves on May 29, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by XRP's price movement relative to the specified parameters. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings, while the losing side forfeits their stake. Resolution is final once the market closes and the outcome is confirmed, at which point all positions settle.
XRP's price action through May 29 could be driven by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin or Ethereum momentum, and XRP-specific developments such as partnerships or token unlocks. Market-wide volatility spikes, Federal Reserve communications, and shifts in institutional crypto adoption sentiment can all influence directional bets. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and technical chart patterns to anticipate moves. Any major news regarding Ripple's legal status or enterprise adoption could create sharp repricing before the resolution deadline.