TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether XRP's price will be higher at the end of a four-hour window on May 29, 2026 compared to its opening level during that same period. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 48.0%. Resolution will be determined by Chainlink's XRP-USD price feed, which will capture the opening price at 12:00AM ET and closing price at 4:00AM ET on May 29 to establish whether the asset moved up or down during this specific overnight trading window.
The market resolves at May 29, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour observation window. Resolution is determined by comparing XRP's price at the close of that window to its price at the open, establishing whether the net movement was up or down. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout based on the final odds at which they entered their position. The specificity of this time window means that intraday volatility and regional market hours during that exact period will be the sole factors in determining the outcome.
Key catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto market, major macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements, and developments in Ripple's business partnerships or litigation. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading during the window. Social media sentiment shifts, exchange inflows or outflows, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities can amplify volatility. Since the window spans early morning ET hours, Asian market closes and European opens may introduce additional price pressure or momentum that influences the final direction.