TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Volume:
$1,399

XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
6¢
N/A
$1,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether XRP's price will be higher at the end of a four-hour window on May 29, 2026 compared to its opening level during that same period. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 48.0%. Resolution will be determined by Chainlink's XRP-USD price feed, which will capture the opening price at 12:00AM ET and closing price at 4:00AM ET on May 29 to establish whether the asset moved up or down during this specific overnight trading window.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about XRP's directional movement during that specific four-hour window, whereas spot price expectations typically derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or analyst sentiment across the broader market. The prediction market odds on Polymarket may diverge from casual price forecasts because they represent real financial commitments and incorporate a diverse set of informed participants. Comparing the implied probability to analyst consensus or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional views.

The market resolves at May 29, 2026, marking the end of the four-hour observation window. Resolution is determined by comparing XRP's price at the close of that window to its price at the open, establishing whether the net movement was up or down. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout based on the final odds at which they entered their position. The specificity of this time window means that intraday volatility and regional market hours during that exact period will be the sole factors in determining the outcome.

Key catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto market, major macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements, and developments in Ripple's business partnerships or litigation. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may also trigger algorithmic trading during the window. Social media sentiment shifts, exchange inflows or outflows, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment in equities can amplify volatility. Since the window spans early morning ET hours, Asian market closes and European opens may introduce additional price pressure or momentum that influences the final direction.