TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether XRP's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 4PM ET on May 28, 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 50.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by the XRP/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome decided by comparing the close price against the open price for that specific hourly candle on May 28 at 4PM ET.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' aggregated bets on XRP's direction by May 28, 4PM ET, and often diverge from spot-price technicals or analyst consensus. While spot markets react to immediate news and volatility, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to XRP spot-price momentum, on-chain metrics, or macro sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in a bullish or bearish bias. Discrepancies between prediction odds and current spot trends may signal opportunity or caution depending on your thesis.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side. Prices move as new trades execute; buying up-shares drives that outcome's price higher, while selling increases the down-outcome price. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions. The market settles at the 4PM ET snapshot on May 28, with final pricing determined by XRP's actual spot price at that moment.
The XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET market resolves on May 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by XRP's price action at the specified 4PM ET snapshot. The outcome depends on whether XRP closes above or below its opening price at that exact time, or meets other predefined criteria set by the market creator. Once the resolution time passes, the market is locked and settled based on the final price data. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
XRP's direction by May 28, 4PM ET could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin or Ethereum momentum, and on-chain activity metrics. Ripple partnership news, SEC developments, or shifts in institutional adoption could drive sentiment. Broader crypto market rallies or corrections often carry XRP along. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and derivative liquidation cascades may also create short-term volatility. Monitoring XRP's correlation to BTC, regulatory headlines, and Ripple-specific catalysts will help you assess which direction the market is pricing in as May 28 approaches.