TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET

Volume:
$14,917

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 20, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.44 to 1.4599

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.1199999 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$560
N/A
N/A
$560
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.46 to 1.4799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.14 to 1.1599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.12 to 1.1399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.52 to 1.5399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.42 to 1.4399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.48 to 1.4999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.5 to 1.5199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.28 to 1.2999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.34 to 1.3599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.84 to 1.8599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.74 to 1.7599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.62 to 1.6399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.56 to 1.5799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.58 to 1.5999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.6 to 1.6199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.18 to 1.1999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.22 to 1.2399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.8 to 1.8199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.54 to 1.5599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.86 to 1.8799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on March 19, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot price data, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with 37 discrete price band outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct price sources and measurement methodologies create incompatible resolution outcomes. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison; Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI 60-second average across 37 discrete price bands.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi outcomes are correlated. Binance spot price and CF Benchmarks index can diverge. Monitor both sources independently. Kalshi's 37 price bands mean most outcomes resolve to No unless the index lands precisely in one of the specified ranges.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close >= open; Down otherwise. Resolution source: Binance official 1H candle data for XRP/USDT pair. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 37 discrete Yes outcomes tied to CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI 60-second simple average in specific price bands (e.g., 1.12000-1.1399, 1.14000-1.1599, ... 1.8799+). Resolves Yes if index falls within any specified band; No otherwise. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between [price range] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.