TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about XRP's directional movement during the June 8 window, while spot price expectations are typically derived from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, or broader market sentiment. Prediction markets aggregate real money commitments, making them a direct measure of crowd conviction. Spot price expectations may rely on chart patterns or sentiment surveys, which can diverge from market-based probabilities. Comparing the two reveals whether prediction market participants are more or less bullish than traditional analysts or technical indicators suggest for that specific four-hour period.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, marking the end of the prediction event window. Resolution occurs after the four-hour trading period closes and the final XRP price action is recorded. The outcome is determined by whether XRP's price moved up or down during the June 8, 4:00AM–8:00AM ET window. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The resolution process is automated and based on verified price data from the specified time window.
Several catalysts could influence XRP's direction during the June 8 window. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency or Ripple specifically could trigger sharp moves. Broader crypto market sentiment shifts, Bitcoin price action, or macroeconomic news released overnight could set the tone. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may guide intraday momentum. Institutional trading activity or large on-chain transactions could signal directional intent. Additionally, any news tied to Ripple's business developments, partnerships, or litigation updates could sway sentiment. Traders should monitor crypto news feeds and technical charts closely as the event window approaches.