TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about XRP's direction by Jun 7, 2026, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and real-time exchange data. Prediction markets often incorporate forward-looking sentiment that spot prices may lag, since market participants are explicitly betting on a future outcome rather than reacting to current levels. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst consensus or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of resolution. Divergences between prediction odds and traditional price forecasts may signal underpriced or overpriced risk.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET is priced as a binary contract where each outcome—XRP Up or XRP Down—trades as a separate share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares at prices between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), with the price representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring by Jun 7, 2026. If you believe XRP will move up, you purchase Up shares; if you expect a decline, you buy Down shares. The sum of both outcome prices equals 1.00, ensuring the market is balanced. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.
The XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing XRP's price to the specified threshold. The winning outcome is paid out in full, while the losing outcome expires worthless. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference price is confirmed, and funds are credited to winning traders' accounts. Traders should verify the exact price source and methodology used for settlement before the resolution window closes to ensure they understand how the outcome will be determined.
XRP price action leading up to Jun 7, 2026 could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and on-chain metrics such as exchange inflows or whale transactions. Major news regarding XRP partnerships, SEC developments, or stablecoin adoption could trigger sharp directional moves. Technical levels and support/resistance zones matter as traders position ahead of resolution. Market-wide volatility spikes, Fed policy changes, or geopolitical events may also impact crypto sentiment. Monitoring social media, news feeds, and on-chain data helps traders anticipate catalysts that could shift odds on Polymarket.