TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader expectations about XRP's directional movement during that specific four-hour window, whereas spot price expectations typically focus on longer-term valuations or intraday technicals. The market odds on Polymarket incorporate uncertainty and real-money commitment from participants betting on the outcome. Comparing these odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than the broader market consensus expects for that particular time frame.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell orders in the order book. Shares for the "Up" outcome and "Down" outcome trade inversely, with prices always summing to one dollar. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to reflect changing probabilities, allowing real-time price discovery throughout the trading window.
The market resolves after Jun 7, 2026, once the four-hour trading window closes. Resolution is determined by XRP's price movement during the specified June 7 window from 12:00PM to 4:00PM ET. The outcome depends on whether XRP's price at the end of that period is higher or lower than its price at the start. Traders should monitor XRP price feeds and market data sources during this window to understand how the outcome will be determined and when final settlement occurs.
Several catalysts could influence XRP's direction during the June 7 window. Regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or cryptocurrency policy, major market-wide crypto movements, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and macroeconomic data releases could all drive XRP price action. Partnership news, technical analysis breakouts, and shifts in institutional or retail sentiment toward XRP may also matter. Traders should monitor crypto news outlets, regulatory developments, and broader market conditions in the days leading up to the event window to anticipate potential price drivers.