TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about XRP's directional move by Jun 7, 2026, whereas spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. Prediction markets embed real financial incentives—traders profit or lose based on accuracy—making odds a forward-looking consensus. Spot price expectations from analysts and polls may lag market pricing or diverge based on different methodologies. The prediction market odds represent a crowd-sourced probability estimate, while analyst views offer individual perspectives on likely price action.
The market resolves at Jun 7, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether XRP's price has moved up or down relative to the specified threshold. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference data is confirmed. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria are defined in the market terms and verified against the designated price source at the precise resolution timestamp.
Several catalysts could influence XRP's direction before Jun 7, 2026. Regulatory announcements regarding Ripple or cryptocurrency policy, major partnerships or integrations, Bitcoin or broader crypto market volatility, macroeconomic data releases, and on-chain activity spikes can all trigger sharp price moves. Technical levels and support or resistance zones matter too. News about SEC litigation outcomes, stablecoin developments, or institutional adoption could shift sentiment. Traders monitor social media, news feeds, and on-chain metrics to anticipate moves. Unexpected geopolitical or financial events can also create sudden volatility in the final hours before resolution.