TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Volume:
$5,670

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus on XRP's directional movement during that specific four-hour window, whereas spot price expectations from analysts and technical forecasts may focus on longer timeframes or different catalysts. The market odds on Polymarket aggregate real money bets from participants who believe they can predict intraday price action. Spot price expectations often incorporate broader market sentiment, regulatory news, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing the two reveals whether short-term traders are more bullish or bearish than longer-term analysts expect, highlighting potential divergence in conviction across different time horizons.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down outcome for XRP during the June 4th 8:00AM–12:00PM ET window. The current odds reflect the collective belief of market participants, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Traders profit by correctly predicting the direction; those holding winning shares receive the full payout at resolution. The pricing mechanism ensures that as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, odds adjust in real time to balance supply and demand.

Several catalysts could influence XRP's direction during the June 4th window. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency classification or Ripple's legal status often trigger sharp intraday moves. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve statements, or broader crypto market sentiment shifts can drive volatility. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may prompt algorithmic trading activity. Partnership or adoption news involving Ripple or XRP could spark buying or selling pressure. Bitcoin and Ethereum movements frequently correlate with altcoin price action, so major moves in leading cryptocurrencies may cascade into XRP. Market-wide risk-on or risk-off sentiment during that specific morning window will significantly influence the outcome.