TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET

Volume:
$847

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregate trader belief about XRP's direction by June 4, 4PM ET, which may diverge from current spot price momentum. While spot prices react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts ahead of the resolution date. Traders often use this divergence to identify mispricings relative to their own directional thesis.

The XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by XRP's price movement relative to a specified baseline at the exact resolution time of 4PM ET on June 4. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The market uses objective price data to settle, ensuring a clear binary outcome based on whether XRP closed up or down from the reference level.

Key catalysts for XRP price direction include regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or crypto broadly, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and on-chain activity or partnership news. Technical levels and support/resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Broader market sentiment around Fed policy, inflation data, or geopolitical events can also influence altcoin performance. Traders monitoring Polymarket odds should watch for sudden shifts in implied probability, which often precede or reflect emerging catalysts ahead of the June 4 deadline.