TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome with two sides: one reflecting the probability XRP closes up, the other reflecting the probability it closes down by June 3, 3PM ET. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 1 cent, with the winning outcome settling at 1 cent. The current price of each side represents the market's real-time odds. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously as traders place orders. Liquidity and trading volume on this specific pair determine how tightly prices are quoted and how easily large orders can be filled.
The XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by XRP's price movement relative to a reference level established at market creation. The binary structure means one outcome will be deemed correct and the other incorrect based on whether XRP has moved up or down by the specified time. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference data is finalized, and winning shares are redeemed at full value while losing shares expire worthless. Traders should verify the exact reference price and data source used by Polymarket to ensure clarity on how their position will settle.
XRP's directional movement by June 3, 3PM ET could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action, and XRP-specific developments such as partnerships or technical upgrades. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal conviction among large holders. Geopolitical events or central bank policy shifts can also drive crypto volatility. Market sentiment around SEC litigation or compliance clarity could accelerate moves. Traders should monitor crypto news outlets, Ripple's official communications, and XRP social sentiment to gauge shifting probabilities as the June 3 deadline approaches.