TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about XRP's direction by June 3, 11PM ET, often diverging from current spot prices on crypto exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in forward-looking sentiment and event-specific catalysts. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum. These differences highlight how prediction markets and traditional price discovery mechanisms value the same asset differently over a specific timeframe.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction in that outcome. The current odds on Polymarket show market participants' best guess about XRP's directional move by the June 3 deadline.
The XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether XRP's price has moved up or down relative to the specified reference point. Resolution is final once the market closes, and traders' positions settle based on the confirmed result. The exact price snapshot and comparison methodology are established in the market's terms at creation. After resolution, winning shares are redeemed at full value and losing shares expire worthless.
XRP's price direction by June 3, 11PM ET could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and major partnerships or technical developments. Crypto market sentiment, Federal Reserve policy signals, and institutional adoption news often drive short-term volatility. Social media trends and exchange listings can also spark rapid moves. Traders monitoring this market watch these catalysts closely, as any significant news can shift prediction odds substantially before the June 3 deadline arrives.