TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about XRP's direction, which often diverges from passive spot price momentum alone. While spot markets respond to immediate supply and demand, this market captures forward-looking sentiment from participants willing to stake capital on their directional view. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts and technical levels can reveal whether the crowd expects mean reversion, continuation, or a surprise move by resolution.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying shares of either outcome shifts the price until equilibrium is reached. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost to purchase a share reflects the current probability; as more capital flows into one side, that outcome's price rises and the opposing side falls. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader positioning throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once XRP's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether XRP closes above or below its entry price at the specified time, measured against established cryptocurrency data providers. Once the event occurs and the direction is confirmed, the market settles and winning positions are paid out automatically.
Major catalysts for XRP price action include regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin or Ethereum momentum, and any developments in Ripple's legal or partnership landscape. Technical levels, support and resistance zones, and shifts in on-chain activity can also influence trader positioning. Monitoring crypto news, SEC filings, and market-wide volatility will help you anticipate moves that could swing this market before the June 28 deadline.