TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about XRP's price direction during the specified window, often diverging from spot-price momentum alone. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market incorporates forward-looking sentiment, news catalysts, and technical levels that traders expect to matter by the close. Comparing the implied probability here to analyst forecasts or on-chain signals can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in tail risks or consensus moves that spot traders may have already priced in.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the market's collective estimate of that outcome's probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one side, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This continuous price discovery mechanism means the odds update in real time as new information arrives, allowing you to enter or exit at any moment during the market's active window.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the event window closes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will reflect XRP's price movement during the specified four-hour trading session, confirmed against established market data. All positions settle automatically once the outcome is determined and locked in by the platform.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility that spills into altcoins, and any breaking news about Ripple or XRP adoption. Technical levels and support or resistance zones identified by traders can also trigger sharp moves as stop-losses or limit orders execute. Social media sentiment shifts, exchange listings or delistings, and large on-chain transactions may accelerate positioning changes in the final hours before the market closes.