TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about XRP's directional movement during the June 2nd window, which may differ from spot price forecasts by traditional analysts or on-chain metrics. While spot price expectations are often based on technical analysis, fundamental catalysts, or sentiment surveys, prediction market odds incorporate real financial incentives—traders profit only if their outcome occurs. Comparing the two reveals whether the prediction market is pricing in more bullish or bearish sentiment than conventional analysis suggests.
On Polymarket, the XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the probability implied by the order book and liquidity pool. As traders place bets on whether XRP will move up or down during the specified window, the prices adjust dynamically. The current odds show how the market is split between the two directional outcomes.
The XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing XRP's price at the start of the four-hour window (4:00 AM ET on June 2nd) to its price at the end of the window (8:00 AM ET on the same day). The outcome is binary: if the closing price is higher than the opening price, the Up outcome wins; if lower, the Down outcome wins. The specific price source and settlement methodology are defined by the market's terms.
Several catalysts could influence XRP's price movement during the June 2nd window. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency or Ripple specifically could trigger volatility. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or broader crypto market sentiment shifts may impact XRP alongside other digital assets. On-chain activity, partnership announcements, or developments in Ripple's business could also drive directional moves. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action often influences altcoin movements, so monitoring those assets during the window is relevant for predicting XRP's direction.