TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about XRP's directional move during the June 11 window, which may differ from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot prices show XRP's real-time value, prediction odds encode probabilistic bets on future movement within a bounded timeframe. Comparing Polymarket odds to broader market sentiment from crypto analysts or social media can reveal whether traders expect momentum, mean reversion, or consolidation. The prediction market price represents aggregated trader conviction, whereas spot expectations may emphasize technical levels or macroeconomic factors.
On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" during the specified four-hour window. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price reflects the probability implied by order flow; as more capital flows into "Up" shares, their price rises and "Down" shares fall, and vice versa. Traders profit by correctly predicting XRP's directional movement between 8:00 AM and 12:00 PM ET on June 11. Polymarket's automated market maker mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and transparent price discovery throughout the event window.
The market resolves at Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by XRP's price movement during the specified four-hour window on June 11, from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM ET. The outcome hinges on whether XRP closes higher or lower at the end of that window compared to its opening price at 8:00 AM ET. Traders holding winning outcome shares receive their payout once the market settles. The precise price source and settlement methodology are defined by Polymarket's event specifications to ensure objective, verifiable resolution.
Several catalysts could influence XRP's direction during the June 11 window. Regulatory announcements regarding cryptocurrency or Ripple specifically may trigger sharp moves. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or broader crypto market sentiment shifts could drive momentum. Technical levels and support or resistance zones established in prior trading sessions often guide intraday price action. Major exchange listings, partnership news, or litigation updates involving Ripple could spark volatility. Bitcoin and Ethereum movements frequently correlate with XRP, so shifts in dominant cryptocurrencies may propagate to XRP. Traders monitor social media, news feeds, and on-chain metrics for signals that could shift directional bias before and during the four-hour event window.