TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET

Volume:
$10,853

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.12 to 1.1399

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.42 to 1.4399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.46 to 1.4799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.78 to 0.7999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,033
N/A
N/A
$1,033
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.74 to 0.7599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.82 to 0.8399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.34 to 1.3599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.38 to 1.3999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.26 to 1.2799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.14 to 1.1599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.1 to 1.1199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.08 to 1.0999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.06 to 1.0799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.7199999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.72 to 0.7399

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.76 to 0.7799

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.8 to 0.8199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.84 to 0.8599

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.86 to 0.8799

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.88 to 0.8999

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.9 to 0.9199

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.92 to 0.9399

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.94 to 0.9599

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on June 11, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot price data, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with 60-second averaging.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms use different price data sources (Binance spot vs. CF Benchmarks RTI) and different measurement methodologies (1-hour candle comparison vs. 60-second average in price bands), creating settlement value mismatch risk.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with different mechanics. Polymarket is a simple directional bet (Up if close >= open, Down otherwise). Kalshi is a price-band resolution where most price ranges resolve Yes, but the exact 60-second average at 5 PM EDT on the CF Benchmarks feed determines outcome. Arbitrage risk exists if the two feeds diverge.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market: resolves Up if XRP/USDT close price >= open price for the 1-hour candle beginning at 5 PM ET on June 11. Uses Binance spot data only. Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Price-band lottery: resolves Yes if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT falls within one of 40 predefined price bands (0.72-1.48 in 0.02 increments, plus below 0.72 and above 1.4799). No explicit No outcome defined. Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between [range] at 5 PM EDT on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by calculating the simple average of sixty consecutive prices from the CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI in the sixty seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 11, 2026. The averaged price must fall within the specified range for that outcome to resolve affirmatively. If data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, the affected outcome resolves to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides the authoritative continuous pricing data for this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for XRP's price direction on June 11, 2026 at 5PM ET across Polymarket and Kalshi. You can monitor consensus probability shifts, compare how each platform weights the outcome, and track total trading volume across both venues. The multi-platform view reveals whether traders on different exchanges agree on XRP's directional bias, helping you spot divergences and market sentiment trends as the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect trader conviction about XRP's price movement by the specified date, independent of current spot price. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment and longer-term positioning. The odds shown on Polymarket and Kalshi represent aggregated bets on whether XRP will trade above or below a specific threshold at 5PM ET on June 11, 2026. Comparing these odds to your own spot price forecast helps identify potential mispricings or consensus blind spots.

Key catalysts include Ripple regulatory developments, SEC litigation outcomes, institutional adoption announcements, and broader crypto market sentiment shifts. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy changes, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings often correlate with XRP movement. Technical breakouts above or below major resistance levels can trigger momentum trades. Partnership news, token burns, or changes to XRP's utility in cross-border payments may also influence directional bias. Monitor Ripple's official communications and on-chain metrics for early signals before they fully price into prediction markets.