TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus on XRP's directional move by June 11, 2AM ET, while spot price expectations are based on current exchange prices and technical analysis. The market odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment and risk appetite, often diverging from near-term spot price trends. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts that spot markets may not yet fully reflect.
Key catalysts for XRP include regulatory announcements from the SEC or international authorities, Bitcoin and broader crypto market momentum, macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite, and Ripple company news. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger sharp moves. On-chain metrics such as whale transactions or exchange inflows may signal accumulation or distribution. Geopolitical events, Fed policy shifts, and sentiment shifts in traditional finance can ripple through crypto markets. Monitoring these factors helps traders anticipate directional pressure on XRP leading up to the June 11, 2AM ET snapshot.