TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about XRP's price direction by Jun 10, 2026, which may differ from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets. Comparing Polymarket odds to traditional analyst price targets or sentiment surveys can reveal whether the market is more or less bullish than consensus. Divergences often signal where informed traders see opportunity or risk that broader markets have not yet priced in.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The current market probability is reflected in the share price, with traders able to enter or exit positions continuously until resolution. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. As traders accumulate positions ahead of the June 10 deadline, prices shift to balance supply and demand, with the final settlement price determined by the actual XRP price movement at the specified time.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether XRP's price has moved up or down relative to a specified baseline or threshold. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference price is confirmed, and traders' positions settle according to the final result. Until that time, odds remain fluid and reflect ongoing uncertainty about XRP's price action over the coming months.
XRP price direction by June 10 could be influenced by regulatory announcements affecting Ripple or cryptocurrency broadly, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, macroeconomic shifts, and adoption news from financial institutions using XRP. Technical developments in the Ripple ecosystem, changes in stablecoin or cross-border payment demand, and shifts in investor risk appetite all play a role. Market-wide volatility, geopolitical events, and central bank policy decisions can also drive crypto sentiment. Traders monitor these catalysts closely to adjust positions and update their probability assessments on Polymarket.