TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect trader consensus on XRP's directional move by June 1, 5AM ET, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. The prediction market embeds real money incentives, making odds a forward-looking probability estimate. Spot price sentiment may lag or diverge from market odds if traders have information or conviction that analysts have not yet priced in. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than traditional market signals suggest.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether XRP has moved up or down relative to the specified reference point at 5AM ET on June 1. Resolution is final once the event occurs and the market settles. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria are defined in the market terms and enforced at settlement.
XRP price action is sensitive to regulatory announcements, especially from the SEC regarding Ripple's legal status. Macroeconomic shifts, Bitcoin volatility, and broader crypto sentiment can drive directional moves. Partnership or adoption news from financial institutions using Ripple's technology may boost XRP upward. Technical levels, support and resistance zones, and options expiry dates can trigger sharp moves. Central bank policy changes and risk-on or risk-off market rotations also influence altcoin performance. Monitoring on-chain activity and exchange flows provides early signals of accumulation or distribution pressure.