TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from spot price momentum alone. While spot exchanges show current XRP value, this market aggregates forward-looking conviction through real money stakes. If odds heavily favor an up move, traders are betting on upward pressure; if they favor down, the opposite. These odds can differ from technical analysis or analyst forecasts because they embed all available information and trader risk appetite in a single probability, making them a distinct signal of expected direction.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share in the up or down outcome trades at a price between 0 and 1, with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1. As traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts to reflect the current probability. The market price you see is the real-time consensus of all participants, updated continuously until the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether XRP's price moved up or down during the specified window. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once the price movement is established and verified.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting XRP, broader cryptocurrency market swings, macroeconomic data releases, and developments in Ripple's business or partnerships. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger sharp moves. Social media sentiment, exchange listings or delistings, and shifts in institutional interest may influence trader positioning. Any news tied to XRP's utility or adoption could reshape odds significantly in the final hours before settlement.