TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who are pricing in their expectations of XRP's directional move by the resolution date. Unlike spot price charts, which show only historical price action, this market embeds forward-looking consensus about volatility, news catalysts, and macro sentiment. When odds diverge sharply from what technical analysts or on-chain metrics suggest, it often signals either mispricing or emerging information that spot markets have not yet fully absorbed.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where buying one outcome automatically adjusts the price of the other. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into the "up" or "down" side, the higher that outcome's probability climbs. This continuous repricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and trader conviction in real time, with spreads tightening as liquidity increases.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once XRP's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The binary result—up or down—will be determined by comparing the spot price at the resolution timestamp against the reference level established at market creation. Once the event is finalized and reported, the winning side receives its payout and the losing side expires worthless.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting XRP or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings that correlate with altcoin movement, and any Ripple company news or partnerships. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can also trigger sharp repricing as traders react to breakouts or breakdowns. Intraday volatility spikes, exchange listings, or sudden liquidity events on major trading venues may cause rapid odds shifts as new information reaches the market.