TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET

Volume:
$36,579

XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.31991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.29991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
$749
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.13991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.99991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
$369
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.35991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.33991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$87
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.17991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.23991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.25991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.27991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.01991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.07991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.03991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.05991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.19991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.15991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.21991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.11991 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.37991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$375
N/A
N/A
$375
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.45991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.65991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.51991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.41991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.47991 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on February 28, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot prices, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with multiple threshold-based conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible data sources (Binance spot vs CF Benchmarks index) and incompatible resolution methodologies (single 1H candle comparison vs 40 independent threshold checks). The same XRP price movement could resolve differently on each platform.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets. Polymarket is a directional bet on Binance XRP/USDT hourly movement. Kalshi's 40 markets are independent price-level bets on a different benchmark index. Verify which data source and methodology aligns with your trading thesis before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close >= open for the 1H candle beginning at 5 PM ET on Feb 28, 2026. Uses official Binance spot market data. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 40 separate Yes/No markets, each with a different price threshold (0.9999 to 1.7799). Each resolves Yes if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EST exceeds its threshold. Uses CF Benchmarks index, not spot market. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EST is above [threshold]...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.