TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET
Volume:
$8,827
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
These markets assess whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on April 8, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot prices, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with discrete price band outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Two distinct market architectures using different data sources and resolution methodologies. Polymarket is a simple binary Up/Down comparison; Kalshi is a 40-band discrete outcome market with extensive price ranges that resolve to No.Hero Tip:
These markets are fundamentally different products despite sharing the same timestamp. Polymarket rewards directional prediction; Kalshi rewards precise price-band forecasting. Confirm your platform's data source (Binance vs CF Benchmarks) and understand that Kalshi has significant price ranges (e.g., 0.92-1.00, 1.20-1.26, 1.68+) that automatically resolve No. Cross-platform hedging is not straightforward.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary Up/Down market. Resolves Up if XRP/USDT close price >= open price on Binance 1H candle at 5 PM ET April 8. Otherwise resolves Down. Uses Binance XRP/USDT pair as sole source.
- Kalshi: Multi-outcome Yes/No market with 40 discrete price bands. Resolves Yes only if 60-second average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI at 5 PM EDT falls within one of the specified ranges (1.00-1.0199, 1.12-1.1399, 1.14-1.1599, 1.16-1.1799, 1.42-1.4399, 1.52-1.5399, 1.62-1.6399, 1.66-1.6799, >1.6799, <0.92, 0.92-0.9399, 0.94-0.9599, 0.96-0.9799, 0.98-0.9999, 1.02-1.0399, 1.04-1.0599, 1.06-1.0799, 1.08-1.0999, 1.10-1.1199, 1.18-1.1999, 1.20-1.2199, 1.22-1.2399, 1.24-1.2599, 1.26-1.2799, 1.28-1.2999, 1.30-1.3199, 1.32-1.3399, 1.34-1.3599, 1.36-1.3799, 1.38-1.3999, 1.40-1.4199, 1.44-1.4599, 1.46-1.4799, 1.48-1.4999, 1.50-1.5199, 1.54-1.5599, 1.56-1.5799, 1.58-1.5999, 1.60-1.6199, 1.64-1.6599). All other prices resolve No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.