TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET

Volume:
$8,827

XRP Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 9, 2026

Closed: Apr 8, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 8, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.34 to 1.3599

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$0.9199999 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,487
N/A
N/A
$1,481
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$103
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.36 to 1.3799

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.38 to 1.3999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.42 to 1.4399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.32 to 1.3399

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.44 to 1.4599

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.92 to 0.9399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.94 to 0.9599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.96 to 0.9799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.98 to 0.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1 to 1.0199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.02 to 1.0399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.04 to 1.0599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.06 to 1.0799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.08 to 1.0999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.1 to 1.1199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.12 to 1.1399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.14 to 1.1599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.16 to 1.1799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.18 to 1.1999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.2 to 1.2199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

These markets assess whether XRP/USD will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on April 8, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT spot prices, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with discrete price band outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct market architectures using different data sources and resolution methodologies. Polymarket is a simple binary Up/Down comparison; Kalshi is a 40-band discrete outcome market with extensive price ranges that resolve to No.Hero tip: These markets are fundamentally different products despite sharing the same timestamp. Polymarket rewards directional prediction; Kalshi rewards precise price-band forecasting. Confirm your platform's data source (Binance vs CF Benchmarks) and understand that Kalshi has significant price ranges (e.g., 0.92-1.00, 1.20-1.26, 1.68+) that automatically resolve No. Cross-platform hedging is not straightforward.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down market. Resolves Up if XRP/USDT close price >= open price on Binance 1H candle at 5 PM ET April 8. Otherwise resolves Down. Uses Binance XRP/USDT pair as sole source.
  • Kalshi: Multi-outcome Yes/No market with 40 discrete price bands. Resolves Yes only if 60-second average of CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI at 5 PM EDT falls within one of the specified ranges (1.00-1.0199, 1.12-1.1399, 1.14-1.1599, 1.16-1.1799, 1.42-1.4399, 1.52-1.5399, 1.62-1.6399, 1.66-1.6799, >1.6799, <0.92, 0.92-0.9399, 0.94-0.9599, 0.96-0.9799, 0.98-0.9999, 1.02-1.0399, 1.04-1.0599, 1.06-1.0799, 1.08-1.0999, 1.10-1.1199, 1.18-1.1999, 1.20-1.2199, 1.22-1.2399, 1.24-1.2599, 1.26-1.2799, 1.28-1.2999, 1.30-1.3199, 1.32-1.3399, 1.34-1.3599, 1.36-1.3799, 1.38-1.3999, 1.40-1.4199, 1.44-1.4599, 1.46-1.4799, 1.48-1.4999, 1.50-1.5199, 1.54-1.5599, 1.56-1.5799, 1.58-1.5999, 1.60-1.6199, 1.64-1.6599). All other prices resolve No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.