TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET

Volume:
$19,228

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

 - Kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT? - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 28, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,479
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,731
N/A
N/A
$3,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,559
N/A
N/A
$2,710
Settled
No
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,193
N/A
N/A
$2,190
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the XRP/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different data sources (Binance spot candle vs. CF Benchmarks index), different measurement methodologies (binary comparison vs. 27 threshold-based markets), and different timing windows (1-hour candle finalization vs. 60-second average before 5 PM). This creates basis risk and potential for non-correlated outcomes.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi will resolve identically. Polymarket's outcome depends on whether Binance XRP/USDT close >= open for the 5 PM ET 1-hour candle. Kalshi's 27 outcomes depend on whether the CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds specific thresholds. Monitor both data sources independently. If you hold positions on both platforms, be aware they may diverge significantly, especially if Binance spot price and the CF index move in different directions or magnitudes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary up/down resolution based on Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves UP if close price >= open price, DOWN otherwise. Single outcome. Source: Binance XRP/USDT pair. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: 27 separate threshold-based markets using CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI index. Each market resolves YES if the 60-second simple average of the index before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging from 0.9999 to 1.7799), NO otherwise. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.